Tuesday, December 24, 2013

تحليل تقني واساسي للاسواق


الدعم 1180$ في الذهب على المحك.

 
في الامس تم خفض الفائدة في الصين وتم ايضا بيع سندات ماليه بقيمة 29 مليار ايوان (4.8 مليار دولار امريكي) , لذلك يتجه المستثمرون في اسيا لشراء الاسهم والمؤشرات المحلية مما يحقق المكاسب لهذه المؤشرات وفي المقابل تتم عمليه بيع للذهب كما لاحظنا في الاسابيع الأخيرة , على هذا ممكن التوقع المزيد من انخفاض سعر الذهب في حين استمرار المكاسب في البورصات الأسيوية  وتكون نقطة الدعم 1180$ للذهب  معرضه للكسر اذا امتحنت مره اخرى.


Tuesday, November 12, 2013

Market Analysis – Tuesday, November 12th 2013


Last week’s action was hugely profitable for those traders fortunate enough to be on the right side of the market. Still to come are some very significant economic events on Wednesday that could give some volatility to the various markets. More specifically, there will a report on UK’s employment numbers(GBP claimant count change), words from US Fed Chairman Ben Bernanake and Japanese Quarterly GDP numbers. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.
 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3385 and has fallen close to 500 pips in the course of only a few trading days. Targets on the upside are 1.3395 and 1.3421. On the downside targets are 1.3367 and 1.3331.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3395
R2:  1.3421
R3:  1.3453
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3367
S2:  1.3331
R3:  1.3306

 


GBP/USD

The currency has fallen nearly 400 pips since its high of 1.6256 on October 20th.  It’s difficult to determine whether support will hold or if tomorrow’s employment numbers will cause it to go even lower. Below is a table of important support and resistance levels.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.5920
R2:  1.5975
R3:  1.6018
SUPPORT
S1:  1.5860
S2: 1.5820
R3:  1.5790

 

USD/JPY

The currency has advanced almost 200 pips in 3 short trading days. Tomorrow’s big report is Japanese quarterly GDP numbers – expect dramatic moves in this currency

RESISTANCE
R1:  99.79
R2:  99.91
R3:  100.00
SUPPORT
S1:  99.47
S2:  99.13
R3:  98.92

 


Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Market Analysis – Wednesday, October 23rd 2013

Yesterday’s US employment data was much worse than expected and was the catalyst for the drastic move lower in the US dollar. This move had a ripple effect and was what propelled many of the other financial markets higher.  Today’s correction could be nothing more than a consolidative move or it could be indicative of a trend change. Only time will tell. Tomorrow’s big economic events revolves around US employment numbers at 13:30 GMT and US home sales at 15:00 GMT. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3762 and yesterday the pair reached its yearly high of 1.3791. Targets on the upside are 1.3791 and 1.3825. On the downside targets are 1.3744 and 1.3714.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3791
R2:  1.3825
R3:  1.3883
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3744
S2:  1.3714
R3:  1.3697
 

NZD/USD

The currency broke out of its range on October 14th to reach yesterday’s high of .8542.  It has since sold off dramatically to its current price of .8384 and has bounced off the top of its previous trading range. Below is a table of important support and resistance levels.

RESISTANCE
R1:  .8405
R2:  .8430
R3:  .8445
SUPPORT
S1:  .8343
S2: .8302
R3:  .8271
 

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Market Analysis – Thursday, October 10th 2013


The only problem with having a set opinion on the market is that it clouds one’s judgement from what the market is actually doing.  A perfect example of this is that some people think that since the GBPUSD was once trading at 2.07, it will once again return to those levels.  One’s excitement of the potential profit closes one’s eyes to the reality of the situation. Another example are those who predict that the reserve currency of the world, namely the US dollar will one day fall apart. Whenever I hear statement such as that, my only feeling is to expect a massive appreciation in the dollar’s value since the purpose of the market is to prove the majority of people wrong. Remove your personal bias in the markets and watch as your investment portfolio grows in value.

There are several speeches later today that could affect the market’s direction. One is from Bank of Japan’s Governor Kurdoda and the other is from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. Both of these speakers have the ability to cause major moves in the market. Those looking for additional assistance, CMTrading is here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

EUR/USD

Not much has change for the last week in the EURUSD. It’s currently trading at 1.3518 and it’s unclear if the market is in a countertrend rally or if it’s shifting trends. Targets on the upside are 1.3559 and 1.3585. On the downside targets are 1.3510 and 1.3485.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3550
R2:  1.3595
R3:  1.3640
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3510
S2:  1.3480
R3:  1.3460


 

USD/CHF

The currency has been rangebound for the past month, trading between .9130 and .8967. It’s current downside targets are .8258 and .8213. Its upside targets are .8293 and .8325.

RESISTANCE
R1:  .8293
R2:  .8325
R3:  .8341
SUPPORT
S1:  .8258
S2: 0.8213
R3:  0.8158

 







Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Market Analysis – Tuesday, October 1st 2013


For those traders and investors waiting to see a big move in the markets, tomorrow’s calendar of events should provide that action. Not only will there be an an ECB press conference, but we will also hear words from US Fed Chairman Bernanke. Additionally we will be receiving US employment numbers. It should be an action packed day. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 

EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3545 and remains within reach of the yearly high of 1.3710. Targets on the upside are 1.3595 and 1.3640. On the downside targets are 1.3520 and 1.3480.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3550
R2:  1.3595
R3:  1.3640
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3520
S2:  1.3480
R3:  1.3460

 


GBP/USD

Major pullbacks on the GBPUSD have been rare. Since July the GBPUSD has seen a meteoric 1400 pip rise all the way from the low 1.48’s. The major target on the upside remains at 1.6380 and the downside target is 1.5995.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.6260
R2:  1.6290
R3:  1.6305
SUPPORT
S1:  1.6210
S2: 1.6175
R3:  1.6135

 

NZD/USD

The currency has been rangebound for the past 5 trading days between .8216 and .8341. If it breaks through these ranges, it’s upside target is .8388 and the downside target is .8156.

RESISTANCE
R1:  .8293
R2:  .8325
R3:  .8341
SUPPORT
S1:  .8258
S2:  0.8213
R3:  0.8158

 



Monday, September 16, 2013

Market Analysis – Monday, September 16 2013

Market’s gapped up to start the week, leaving wrong-sided investors and traders with the decision of whether to close their positions or to hope the markets reverse in their favor. As always, it pays to keep to risk management rules. Later in the week there will be important economic data affecting the GBP, Euro and AUD. Below are some charts outlining important markets to pay attention. For those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3354 and remains below it’s recent high of yearly high of 1.34512. Targets on the upside are 1.3405 and 1.3443. On the downside targets are 1.3291 and 1.3215.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3405
R2:  1.3443
R3:  1.3519
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3291
S2:  1.3215
R3:  1.3177

 


GBP/USD

For those that thought they missed the opportunity to go short this pair in the 1.60’s, well those traders have gotten their wish. On the upside, getting above 1.6008 opens the way for 1.6066.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.6008
R2:  1.6066
R3:  1.6182
SUPPORT
S1:  1.5834
S2: 1.5718
R3:  1.5660

 




Thursday, September 12, 2013

Market Analysis – Thursday, September 12 2013


This past week’s short term trend reversal has left many investors and traders scratching their heads. Both currencies and stock markets alike have been affected. The million dollar question is whether this is just a temporary pause before the overall trend reasserts itself. At times like this, it pays to be a trader rather than an investor.
EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3273 and remains below it’s recent high of 1.3451. Targets on the upside are 1.3347 and 1.3375. On the downside targets are 1.3267 and 1.3215.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.3347
R2:  1.3375
R3:  1.3427
SUPPORT
S1:  1.3267
S2:  1.3215
R3:  1.3187

 



GBP/USD

For those that thought they missed the opportunity to go short this pair in the 1.5800’s, well those traders have gotten their wish. On the upside, getting above 1.5840 opens the way for 1.5866.

RESISTANCE
R1:  1.5866
R2:  1.5904
R3:  1.5978
SUPPORT
S1:  1.5754
S2: 1.5680
R3:  1.5642

 




NZD/USD

The pair is at the very top of it’s yearly range at .8127. Breaking above .8154 could set up the path for .8183, while downside targets are .8124 and .8110.

RESISTANCE
R1:  .8146
R2:  .8154
R3:  .8168
SUPPORT
S1:  .8124
S2:  0.8110
R3:  0.8102

 
S & P Futures

The index has been in steady uptrend since the beginning of the year with periodic pullbacks. It’s unclear if the top is in, though time will tell.

RESISTANCE
R1:  $1690.10
R2: $1703.12
R3:  $1710.14
SUPPORT
S1:  $1670.62
S2: $ 1661.10
R3:  $1651.05