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الدعم 1180$ في الذهب على المحك.

 

في الامس تم خفض الفائدة في الصين وتم ايضا بيع سندات ماليه بقيمة 29 مليار ايوان (4.8 مليار دولار امريكي) , لذلك يتجه المستثمرون في اسيا لشراء الاسهم والمؤشرات المحلية مما يحقق المكاسب لهذه المؤشرات وفي المقابل تتم عمليه بيع للذهب كما لاحظنا في الاسابيع الأخيرة , على هذا ممكن التوقع المزيد من انخفاض سعر الذهب في حين استمرار المكاسب في البورصات الأسيوية  وتكون نقطة الدعم 1180$ للذهب  معرضه للكسر اذا امتحنت مره اخرى.

Market Analysis – Tuesday, November 12th 2013

Last week’s action was hugely profitable for those traders fortunate enough to be on the right side of the market. Still to come are some very significant economic events on Wednesday that could give some volatility to the various markets. More specifically, there will a report on UK’s employment numbers(GBP claimant count change), words from US Fed Chairman Ben Bernanake and Japanese Quarterly GDP numbers. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3385 and has fallen close to 500 pips in the course of only a few trading days. Targets on the upside are 1.3395 and 1.3421. On the downside targets are 1.3367 and 1.3331.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3395	R2:  1.3421	R3:  1.3453
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3367	S2:  1.3331	R3:  1.3306

 

GBP/USD

The currency has fallen nearly 400 pips since its high of 1.6256 on October 20^th.  It’s difficult to determine whether support will hold or if tomorrow’s employment numbers will cause it to go even lower. Below is a table of important support and resistance levels.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.5920	R2:  1.5975	R3:  1.6018
SUPPORT	S1:  1.5860	S2: 1.5820	R3:  1.5790

 

USD/JPY

The currency has advanced almost 200 pips in 3 short trading days. Tomorrow’s big report is Japanese quarterly GDP numbers – expect dramatic moves in this currency

RESISTANCE	R1:  99.79	R2:  99.91	R3:  100.00
SUPPORT	S1:  99.47	S2:  99.13	R3:  98.92

 

Market Analysis – Wednesday, October 23rd 2013

Yesterday’s US employment data was much worse than expected and was the catalyst for the drastic move lower in the US dollar. This move had a ripple effect and was what propelled many of the other financial markets higher.  Today’s correction could be nothing more than a consolidative move or it could be indicative of a trend change. Only time will tell. Tomorrow’s big economic events revolves around US employment numbers at 13:30 GMT and US home sales at 15:00 GMT. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3762 and yesterday the pair reached its yearly high of 1.3791. Targets on the upside are 1.3791 and 1.3825. On the downside targets are 1.3744 and 1.3714.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3791	R2:  1.3825	R3:  1.3883
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3744	S2:  1.3714	R3:  1.3697

 

NZD/USD

The currency broke out of its range on October 14^th to reach yesterday’s high of .8542.  It has since sold off dramatically to its current price of .8384 and has bounced off the top of its previous trading range. Below is a table of important support and resistance levels.

RESISTANCE	R1:  .8405	R2:  .8430	R3:  .8445
SUPPORT	S1:  .8343	S2: .8302	R3:  .8271

 

Market Analysis – Thursday, October 10th 2013

The only problem with having a set opinion on the market is that it clouds one’s judgement from what the market is actually doing.  A perfect example of this is that some people think that since the GBPUSD was once trading at 2.07, it will once again return to those levels.  One’s excitement of the potential profit closes one’s eyes to the reality of the situation. Another example are those who predict that the reserve currency of the world, namely the US dollar will one day fall apart. Whenever I hear statement such as that, my only feeling is to expect a massive appreciation in the dollar’s value since the purpose of the market is to prove the majority of people wrong. Remove your personal bias in the markets and watch as your investment portfolio grows in value.

There are several speeches later today that could affect the market’s direction. One is from Bank of Japan’s Governor Kurdoda and the other is from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi. Both of these speakers have the ability to cause major moves in the market. Those looking for additional assistance, CMTrading is here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

EUR/USD

Not much has change for the last week in the EURUSD. It’s currently trading at 1.3518 and it’s unclear if the market is in a countertrend rally or if it’s shifting trends. Targets on the upside are 1.3559 and 1.3585. On the downside targets are 1.3510 and 1.3485.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3550	R2:  1.3595	R3:  1.3640
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3510	S2:  1.3480	R3:  1.3460

 

USD/CHF

The currency has been rangebound for the past month, trading between .9130 and .8967. It’s current downside targets are .8258 and .8213. Its upside targets are .8293 and .8325.

RESISTANCE	R1:  .8293	R2:  .8325	R3:  .8341
SUPPORT	S1:  .8258	S2: 0.8213	R3:  0.8158

 

Market Analysis – Tuesday, October 1st 2013

For those traders and investors waiting to see a big move in the markets, tomorrow’s calendar of events should provide that action. Not only will there be an an ECB press conference, but we will also hear words from US Fed Chairman Bernanke. Additionally we will be receiving US employment numbers. It should be an action packed day. Those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 

EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3545 and remains within reach of the yearly high of 1.3710. Targets on the upside are 1.3595 and 1.3640. On the downside targets are 1.3520 and 1.3480.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3550	R2:  1.3595	R3:  1.3640
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3520	S2:  1.3480	R3:  1.3460

 

GBP/USD

Major pullbacks on the GBPUSD have been rare. Since July the GBPUSD has seen a meteoric 1400 pip rise all the way from the low 1.48’s. The major target on the upside remains at 1.6380 and the downside target is 1.5995.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.6260	R2:  1.6290	R3:  1.6305
SUPPORT	S1:  1.6210	S2: 1.6175	R3:  1.6135

 

NZD/USD

The currency has been rangebound for the past 5 trading days between .8216 and .8341. If it breaks through these ranges, it’s upside target is .8388 and the downside target is .8156.

RESISTANCE	R1:  .8293	R2:  .8325	R3:  .8341
SUPPORT	S1:  .8258	S2:  0.8213	R3:  0.8158

 

Market Analysis – Monday, September 16 2013

Market’s gapped up to start the week, leaving wrong-sided investors and traders with the decision of whether to close their positions or to hope the markets reverse in their favor. As always, it pays to keep to risk management rules. Later in the week there will be important economic data affecting the GBP, Euro and AUD. Below are some charts outlining important markets to pay attention. For those looking for additional assistance, we at CMTrading are here to help those looking to profit in the financial markets.

 EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3354 and remains below it’s recent high of yearly high of 1.34512. Targets on the upside are 1.3405 and 1.3443. On the downside targets are 1.3291 and 1.3215.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3405	R2:  1.3443	R3:  1.3519
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3291	S2:  1.3215	R3:  1.3177

 

GBP/USD

For those that thought they missed the opportunity to go short this pair in the 1.60’s, well those traders have gotten their wish. On the upside, getting above 1.6008 opens the way for 1.6066.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.6008	R2:  1.6066	R3:  1.6182
SUPPORT	S1:  1.5834	S2: 1.5718	R3:  1.5660

 

Market Analysis – Thursday, September 12 2013

This past week’s short term trend reversal has left many investors and traders scratching their heads. Both currencies and stock markets alike have been affected. The million dollar question is whether this is just a temporary pause before the overall trend reasserts itself. At times like this, it pays to be a trader rather than an investor.

EUR/USD

It’s currently trading at 1.3273 and remains below it’s recent high of 1.3451. Targets on the upside are 1.3347 and 1.3375. On the downside targets are 1.3267 and 1.3215.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.3347	R2:  1.3375	R3:  1.3427
SUPPORT	S1:  1.3267	S2:  1.3215	R3:  1.3187

 

GBP/USD

For those that thought they missed the opportunity to go short this pair in the 1.5800’s, well those traders have gotten their wish. On the upside, getting above 1.5840 opens the way for 1.5866.

RESISTANCE	R1:  1.5866	R2:  1.5904	R3:  1.5978
SUPPORT	S1:  1.5754	S2: 1.5680	R3:  1.5642

 

NZD/USD

The pair is at the very top of it’s yearly range at .8127. Breaking above .8154 could set up the path for .8183, while downside targets are .8124 and .8110.

RESISTANCE	R1:  .8146	R2:  .8154	R3:  .8168
SUPPORT	S1:  .8124	S2:  0.8110	R3:  0.8102

 

S & P Futures

The index has been in steady uptrend since the beginning of the year with periodic pullbacks. It’s unclear if the top is in, though time will tell.

RESISTANCE	R1:  $1690.10	R2: $1703.12	R3:  $1710.14
SUPPORT	S1:  $1670.62	S2: $ 1661.10	R3:  $1651.05