Wednesday, March 6, 2013

Daily Market Analysis – Equity Markets Aiming at Record Highs



03/06/2013
Among the equity markets catching the perma-bears off-guard is the S&P 500. Today has seen the S&P 500 reach 1538.13, a nearly 5 year high and it appears poised to surpass its all-time high. Some are predicting a run all the way to 1650 by the year’s end, though the swings along the way could get interesting. Today’s events could determine how the markets will unfold for the coming weeks. In particular, US ADP Nonfarm Employment numbers are set to be released at 8:15am. Also of interest is the Bank of Japan’s(BOJ) interest rate decision, which should affect the JPY trade.  For those interested in a more in depth analysis, we at CM trading are here to assist those who are interested in profiting from the financial markets. Below are the charts and the day’s economic events to better understand the current short term trends in some of the different markets.

EURUSD 

After reaching 1.3070 today, the pair is currently trading at 1.3033. On the downside, targets to be aware of are 1.3025 followed by 1.3010. If the pair breaks higher, 1.3075 is the first target followed by 1.3100. 

Resistance
R1: 1.3075
R2: 1.3100
R3: 1.3160
Support
S1: 1.3025
S2: 1.3010
S3: 1.2980


 

EURJPY

Its been stuck in 300 pip range since February 26th, currently trading near its high for the range at 1.2175. At present, targets on the downside are at 121.15 and 120.35.  On the upside its first target is 122.15 followed by 123.20.

 Resistance
R1: 122.15
R2: 123.20
R3: 123.75
Support
S1: 121.15
S2: 120.35
S3: 120.20

 

AUDUSD

After reaching 1.0115 to start the week, the pair has rallied to its current 1.0271 level. Targets on the upside are 1.0300 followed by 1.0315. On the downside targets are 1.0275 and 1.0240. At 19:30, Trade Balance numbers are being released from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. If higher than expected this should have a positive effect on the AUD.

Resistance
R1: 1.0300
R2: 1.0315
R3: 1.0340
Support
S1: 1.0270
S2: 1.0240
S3: 1.0215


 

Gold

Gold appears to have reached its retracement target, hitting $1620 on February 26th. Currently its trading at $1575.21.   If gold heads lower, price levels to watch are $1569.60 and $1560.70.

Resistance
R1: 1591.27
R2: 1607.60
R3: 1623.03
Support
S1: 1569.60
S2: 1560.70
S3: 1552.50


 

Daily Calendar for Wednesday, March 6th  2013   

Time
Currency
Event
Actual
Forecast
Previous
8:15
USD
ADP Nonfarm Employment

170K
192K
10:00
CAD
Interest Rate Decision

1.00%
1.00%
10:00
CAD
Ivey PMI

58.0
58.9
19:30
AUD
Trade Balance

-0.50B
-0.43B
Tent.
JPY
Interest Rate Decision

0.10%
0.10%


Successful Trading!

Jacob Fendrich
Senior Market Analyst
        
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