Either it’s time for a technical bounce
or perhaps some piece of bullish economic data or none of the above and the
markets continue the downward course. Last week’s focus was interest rate
announcements and this week the important data will be GDP numbers out of Spain
and Belgium plus unemployment numbers from Germany and Italy. Out of the US are
Non Farm Payroll plus employment numbers that are due out later in the week. Always
of interest is the ECB President Draghi, who will be speaking on Tuesday. For those interested in a more in
depth analysis, we at CM trading are here to assist those who are interested in
profiting from the financial markets.
EURUSD
The
market is trading around 1.2899 and what it does from here could determine its
short term direction. Breaking below this level opens up the door for 1.2826
and below that is 1.2750. If the market holds its current level, the first
target is 1.2950 and then 1.2980. On the economic calendar for the day are
German CPI numbers at 8am that if higher than expected could be bullish for the
pair. Shortly following this report is the US monthly personal spending that if
positive would be bearish for the EURUSD.
Resistance
|
R1:
1.2945
|
R2: 1.2995
|
R3: 1.302
|
Support
|
S1: 1.288
|
S2: 1.285
|
S3: 1.2825
|
AUDUSD
The
AUDUSD has been showing tremendous resilience over the past several weeks,
bucking the broad market’s trend. After hitting a low of 1.0149 on October 8, it hasn’t looked back
and is currently trading at 1.349 and its next target is 1.0404. On the
downside, its first support level is 1.0302 and then 1.0257. Australian housing
data is coming out at 20:00 that if lower than expected could adjust the
currencies price to the downside.
Resistance
|
R1:
1.0375
|
R2: 1.0405
|
R3: 1.0435
|
Support
|
S1: 1.034
|
S2: 1.03
|
S3: 1.0235
|
USDCAD
The pair is continuing is upward trajectory, currently trading at .9991. If it turns around from here, the levels to monitor are .9941 and then .9890. If it continues higher, 1.0024 will be the first price objective to watch.
Resistance
|
R1:
0.9995
|
R2: 1.002
|
R3: 1.007
|
Support
|
S1: 0.99
|
S2: 0.994
|
S3: 0.997
|
Shifting our analysis from the currencies, let’s take a look at Gold. Those bullish on the metal, undoubtedly are nervous right now. It’s held above the $1700 level quite nicely and as long as this level continues to hold, Gold’s current correction remains nothing out of the ordinary.
Resistance
|
R1:
1722.30
|
R2: 1731.50
|
R3: 1739.44
|
Support
|
S1: 1698.75
|
S2: 1690.14
|
S3: 1681.80
|
Time
|
Currency
|
Event
|
Actual
|
Forecast
|
Previous
|
8:00 EST
|
EUR
|
German CPI(YoY)
|
2.0%
|
2.0%
|
|
8:30 EST
|
USD
|
Personal Spending(MoM)
|
0.6%
|
0.5%
|
|
20:00 EST
|
AUD
|
HIA New Home Sales
|
-5.3%
|
Successful
Trading!
Jacob Fendrich
Senior Market Analyst
Jacob Fendrich
Senior Market Analyst
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