Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Daily Market Analysis –US Dollar Strength Weakens Markets



Many market pundits have their theory on how Obama’s victory is affecting the market. Well, I can’t say with any certainty what the correlation may be, so I’m more comfortable with pointing to the USD being in an uptrend as the reason it continues to go up.  And when the reserve currency of the world shows strength, this drives down the price of other asset classes. Aside from the election, other events to be aware of are employment numbers coming out of New Zealand and Australia. For those interested in a more in depth analysis, we at CM trading are here to assist those who are interested in profiting from the financial markets.

EURUSD 

After reaching 1.2875, the currency pair is currently trading at 1.2801. Its next level of support comes in at 1.2790 followed by 1.2765. On the upside, the pair will need to get above 1.2830 before its next resistance at 1.2855. 

Resistance
R1: 1.283
R2: 1.2855
R3: 1.2890
Support
S1: 1.2790
S2: 1.2765              
S3: 1.2735




AUDUSD

The currency touched a major resistance line at 1.0477 and sold off to its current price of 1.0453. Getting above 1.0477 will open the possibility of 1.05 followed by 1.0525. If it breaks above this level, 1.0520 becomes a possibility. In the other direction, 1.0445 is the first support level followed by 1.0410. Australian employment data is being reported at 19:30.

Resistance
R1: 1.0477
R2: 1.05
R3: 1.0525
Support
S1: 1.0445
S2: 1.041
S3: 1.0365
 
 

NZDUSD

The NZDUSD is currently trading at .8295.  Its next level on the upside is .8298 followed by .8305. On the downside, the first support level is .8284 followed by .8277.  At 16:45 New Zealand employment data is being reported. 

Resistance
R1: .8298
R2: .8305
R3: .8312
Support
S1: 0.8284
S2: 0.8277
S3: 0.8270


 

Gold

Since setting a low of $1672.50 to begin the week, it has since rocketed to $1731.60. For the up move to continue, getting above $1731.60 could lead the way to $1739.44. On the downside, its first level of support is at $1722.30 followed by $1706.85. 

Resistance
R1: 1695.75
R2: 1707.84
R3: 1716.23
Support
S1: 1722.30
S2: 1706.85
S3: 1693.13

 

Daily Calendar for Wednesday, November 7th  
Time
Currency
Event
Actual
Forecast
Previous
05:00EST
EUR
Retail Sales(MoM)
-.2%
-0.1%
.2%
06:00 EST
EUR
German Industrial Production(MoM)
-1.8%
-0.5%
-.4%
16:45 EST
NZD
Employment Change(QoQ)

0.3%
-0.1%
16:45 EST
NZD
Unemployment Rate

6.7%
6.8%
19:30 EST
AUD
Employment Change

0.2k
14.5K
19:30 EST 
AUD
Unemployment Rate

5.5%
5.4%

Successful Trading!

Jacob Fendrich
Senior Market Analyst

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