Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Daily Market Analysis – Gold in Danger of Breaking Down



04/03/2013

For those die-hard Goldbugs, the action in the Gold market over the last 6 months has been a major cause for concern. Contrast this with the moves in the general stock markets and it begins to make sense. Perhaps there is a sense of complacency among investors and concerns over the economy have been laid to rest. In any events, it could be that the rally in the stock market has been fueled by the Government’s QE program –in which case it would be risky to jump into the rally at such a late stage. Given these circumstances, it would be best not to hold on to any position for extended periods of time. Keep an eye on economic events as for clues for when to enter or exit position is my best advice.  For those interested in a more in depth analysis, we at CM trading are here to assist those who are interested in profiting from the financial markets. Below are the charts and the day’s economic events to better understand the current short term trends in some of the different markets.

EURUSD 

The pair has traded in a 100 pip range this week. It’s high was 1.2877 and the high for the week was 1.2771. It’s currently trading at 1.2836. Price levels to watch on the downside are 1.2790 and 1.27555. If the pair breaks higher, 1.2840 is the first target followed by 1.2865. 

Resistance
R1: 1.2840
R2: 1.2865
R3: 1.2890
Support
S1: 1.2755
S2: 1.2730
S3: 1.2690




EURJPY

Since the EURJPY reached a yearly high of 127.70 on February 6th, the trend has shifted to the downside for the time being. It’s currently trading at 119.59. Later in the day, is an interest rate decision from the Bank of Japan. A higher than expected rate is positive for the JPY, while a lower than expected rate is bearish for the JPY.

 Resistance
R1: 120.15
R2: 120.85
R3: 121.85
Support
S1: 119.55
S2: 119.10
S3: 118.65


GBPUSD

The pair has risen from 1.4829 on March 12 to its current level of 1.5131. Targets on the upside are 1.5175 followed by 1.5230. On the downside, targets are 1.5070 and 1.4975.

Resistance
R1: 1.5175
R2: 1.5230
R3: 1.5320
Support
S1: 1.5050
S2: 1.4975
S3: 1.4910




Gold

From its high of $1920 in September 2011, the precious metal has fallen nearly 18% to its current level of $1571.85. Is this a buying opportunity or is there a reason it’s going lower?   If gold heads lower, price levels to watch are $1563.25 and $1555.00.

Resistance
R1: 1576.90
R2: 1583.05
R3: 1589.51
Support
S1: 1563.25
S2: 1555.00
S3: 1547.79



Daily Calendar for Wednesday, April 3rd 2013   

Time
Currency
Event
Actual
Forecast
Previous
8:15
USD
ADP NonFarm Employment Change
158k
200k
237k
10:00
USD
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

55.8
56
20:30
AUD
Building Approvals(MoM)

2.4%
-2.4%
20:30
AUD
Retail Sales(MoM)

0.3%
0.9%
Tentative
JPY
Interest Rate Decision

0.10%
0.10%

Successful Trading!

Jacob Fendrich
Senior Market Analyst
        
Risk Warning: Contracts for Difference (CFDs)  and foreign exchange products are leveraged products and may not be suitable for everyone. They are highly speculative and involve a significant risk of loss. Please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. More information can be found from our "Risk Disclosure" statement. . The content offered in this email is for information purposes only and should not be interpreted as a solicitation to offer purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The information on which this communication is based has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness. All expressions of opinion are subject to change.

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